| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.0% | 42% | +15.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.2% | 55.8% |
| logistic | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Benjamin Pietri | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1459 | 1548 |
| Surface Elo | 1459 | 1548 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.10 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 8 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Dimitris Azoidis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | James Mackinlay | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Calvin Hemery | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Kai Wehnelt | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Miles Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Alexander Chang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Nikita Mashtakov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Munoz Fuster, Javier | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 05 Nov 06:15 |