| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.0% | 66% | -12.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.4% | 87% | -9.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 70.8% | 83% | -11.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 69% | -12.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 56.5% | 21.7% | 21.9% |
| xgboost | 54.8% | 24.4% | 20.8% |
| logistic | 50.1% | 26.4% | 23.5% |
| Cordoba | Ceuta | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1477 | 1394 |
| Surface Elo | 1477 | 1394 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.75 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Atletico Onubense | 3 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Celta B | 2 - 2 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Celta B | 2 - 2 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | CD Atletico Paso | 1 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Eibar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Sp Gijon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Sporting Gijon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | UD Poblense | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Cadiz | 1 - 3 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Cadiz | 1 - 3 | L |
| 25 Feb 2026 | Ceuta | 3 - 2 | Cordoba |
| 02 Nov 2025 | Cordoba | 2 - 0 | Ceuta |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.60 | 17.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.75 | 21.1% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.44 | 69.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |