| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.0% | 20% | +30.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 78.3% | 84% | -6.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 65.5% | 26% | +39.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 62% | -5.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 48.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.1% | 26.6% | 42.3% |
| xgboost | 25.7% | 18.7% | 55.6% |
| logistic | 23.2% | 24.7% | 52.2% |
| Ebbsfleet | Maidenhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1272 | 1453 |
| Surface Elo | 1272 | 1453 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.43 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.71 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 536 | 536 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 4 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Horsham FC | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Weston-super-Mare | 6 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | AFC Totton | 5 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Hampton & Richmond Borough | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Folkestone Invicta | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Maidstone | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Tonbridge Angels | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Chesham United | 4 - 0 | W |
| 05 May | H | Boston Utd | 3 - 0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | Ebbsfleet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Ebbsfleet | 0 - 2 | Maidenhead |
| 24 Sep 2024 | Maidenhead | 2 - 1 | Ebbsfleet |
| 23 Jan 2024 | Maidenhead | 0 - 1 | Ebbsfleet |
| 21 Nov 2023 | Ebbsfleet | 1 - 1 | Maidenhead |
| 25 Feb 2020 | Maidenhead | 1 - 3 | Ebbsfleet |
| 12 Oct 2019 | Ebbsfleet | 1 - 2 | Maidenhead |
| 12 Mar 2019 | Ebbsfleet | 3 - 0 | Maidenhead |
| 27 Nov 2018 | Maidenhead | 1 - 1 | Ebbsfleet |
| 24 Mar 2018 | Ebbsfleet | 1 - 1 | Maidenhead |
| 19 Aug 2017 | Maidenhead | 1 - 1 | Ebbsfleet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.00 | 20.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.25 | 23.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 24 Oct 06:15 |