| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 73.5% | 76% | -2.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 28.4% | 71.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 16.8% | 83.2% |
| logistic | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| Taylah Preston | Alina Korneeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1570 | 1604 |
| Surface Elo | 1570 | 1604 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | A | Jelena Ostapenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Himeno Sakatsume | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Alina Korneeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Jelena Ostapenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Himeno Sakatsume | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Astakhova, Darya | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Maya Joint | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Taylah Preston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Darya Astakhova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Alina Korneeva | 2 - 0 | Taylah Preston |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.32 | 75.8% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.55 | 28.2% | 25 Sep 06:15 |