| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.8% | 65% | -1.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.6% | 60.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 38.0% | 61.9% |
| logistic | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| Magda Linette | Katerina Siniakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1518 | 1645 |
| Surface Elo | 1518 | 1645 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 32 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Katerina Siniakova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Astakhova, Darya | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Darya Astakhova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Francesca Jones | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | A | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Elina Svitolina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Magda Linette | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Naomi Osaka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Aug | H | Madison Keys | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Katerina Siniakova | 2 - 0 | Magda Linette |
| 14 Oct 2024 | Katerina Siniakova | 2 - 0 | Magda Linette |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.51 | 66.2% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 30 Sep 06:15 |