| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.9% | 63% | -11.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.5% | 89% | -10.8% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 68.9% | 84% | -14.9% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.5% | 57% | +4.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 55.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 56.4% | 23.4% | 20.1% |
| xgboost | 44.1% | 27.0% | 29.0% |
| logistic | 53.6% | 26.4% | 20.0% |
| Sp Braga | Gil Vicente | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1663 | 1535 |
| Surface Elo | 1663 | 1535 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 0.86 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| Rest days | 9 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Copenhagen | 0 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | FC Tirsense | 3 - 2 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Sp Lisbon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Sporting | 1 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Santa Clara | 0 - 0 | D |
| 09 Oct | A | Moreirense | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Moreirense | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Maritimo | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Maritimo | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Benfica | 1 - 3 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Gil Vicente | 2 - 1 | Sp Braga |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Sp Braga | 0 - 1 | Gil Vicente |
| 09 Feb 2025 | Sp Braga | 2 - 0 | Gil Vicente |
| 01 Sep 2024 | Gil Vicente | 0 - 0 | Sp Braga |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Sp Braga | 2 - 1 | Gil Vicente |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Gil Vicente | 3 - 3 | Sp Braga |
| 16 Apr 2023 | Sp Braga | 1 - 0 | Gil Vicente |
| 30 Oct 2022 | Gil Vicente | 0 - 1 | Sp Braga |
| 13 Mar 2022 | Sp Braga | 0 - 1 | Gil Vicente |
| 25 Oct 2021 | Gil Vicente | 0 - 1 | Sp Braga |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.75 | 21.1% | 19 Oct 20:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 19 Oct 20:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 19 Oct 20:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 19 Oct 20:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 19 Oct 20:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.06 | 16.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.09 | 24.4% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.80 | 55.6% | 19 Oct 06:15 |