| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.8% | 54% | +3.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.4% | 50.4% |
| logistic | 38.3% | 61.7% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Cortez Llorca, Lucia | Giulia Safina Popa | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1512 | 1658 |
| Surface Elo | 1512 | 1658 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.11 | 1.78 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.89 | 0.44 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | A | Lia Karatancheva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Ruggeri, Jennifer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Carlota Martinez Cirez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Tena Lukas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | H | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Sophie Luescher | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Andreea Prisacariu | 1 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Iulia Maria Buculei | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.84 | 54.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |