| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.6% | 83% | -16.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 77.9% | 22.1% |
| logistic | 70.2% | 29.8% |
| Arthur Fils | Jan Lennard Struff | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2044 | 1849 |
| Surface Elo | 2044 | 1849 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Rodrigo Alujas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Alex Michelsen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Alex Michelsen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Marcos Giron | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Martin Landaluce | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct 2024 | Arthur Fils | 2 - 0 | Jan Lennard Struff |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.85 | 20.6% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.20 | 83.3% | 24 Oct 06:15 |