| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.0% | 87% | -28.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 45.1% | 54.8% |
| logistic | 37.6% | 62.4% |
| Igor Marcondes | Nishesh Basavareddy | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1522 | 1704 |
| Surface Elo | 1522 | 1704 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 22 | 29 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | H | Nishesh Basavareddy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Max Purcell | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Lautaro Midon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Jul | A | Diego Dedura | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Sebastian Gorzny | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Igor Marcondes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Andrea Pellegrino | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 May | A | Alex Michelsen | 1 - 3 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Igor Marcondes | 0 - 2 | Nishesh Basavareddy |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.15 | 87.0% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.95 | 20.2% | 15 Sep 09:05 |