| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.9% | 42% | +18.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 43.9% | 56.1% |
| logistic | 34.8% | 65.2% |
| Federico Cina | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1531 | 1714 |
| Surface Elo | 1531 | 1714 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 23 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | A | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Kaichi Uchida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | James Trotter | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | James Trotter | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Federico Cina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Rodrigo Alujas | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Moez Echargui | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Nicolas Mejia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | Miomir Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 2 | Federico Cina |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 24 Sep 06:15 |