OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-31
⚽ Germany 3. Liga · Saturday 31 October 2026, 13:00 UTC · scheduled
Hoffenheim 1.80 13:00 1.00 FC Koln
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 55.1%38%+17.3%
DCHome or draw 79.4%63%+16.6%
DNBHome (DNB) 71.7%49%+22.2%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.3%73%-13.7%
BTTSBTTS yes 59.8%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson54.2%22.2%23.6%
xgboost50.7%22.4%26.9%
logistic61.2%23.7%15.2%
Inputs the models saw
HoffenheimFC Koln
Elo (pre-match)16431511
Surface Elo16431511
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.00
Form trend-0.300.00
Season points per game1.201.50
Season goals for / game1.601.70
Season goals against / game2.201.10
Rest days56
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W3 W · 3 D
Hoffenheim: last 5
28 OctAHolstein Kiel1 - 1D
25 OctASV Waldhof Mannheim 071 - 4L
25 OctHBayer Leverkusen3 - 0W
25 OctHBayer Leverkusen3 - 0W
22 OctHLyon3 - 0W
FC Koln: last 5
27 OctHUnion Berlin5 - 0W
25 OctASC Preussen 06 Munster0 - 1L
24 OctHSchalke 040 - 0D
24 OctHSchalke 040 - 0D
24 OctHSC Verl3 - 1W
Head to head
29 Aug 2026FC Koln3 - 2Hoffenheim
21 Feb 2026FC Koln2 - 2Hoffenheim
03 Oct 2025Hoffenheim0 - 1FC Koln
11 Feb 2024Hoffenheim1 - 1FC Koln
16 Sep 2023FC Koln1 - 3Hoffenheim
22 Apr 2023Hoffenheim1 - 3FC Koln
30 Oct 2022FC Koln1 - 1Hoffenheim
06 Mar 2022FC Koln0 - 1Hoffenheim
15 Oct 2021Hoffenheim5 - 0FC Koln
24 Jan 2021Hoffenheim3 - 0FC Koln
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.3542.5%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0025.0%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.6537.7%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3773.0%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.9533.9%30 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 14:00 UTC