| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.8% | 61% | -3.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.3% | 43.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 32.3% | 67.6% |
| logistic | 42.3% | 57.7% |
| Jan Lennard Struff | Thiago Agustin Tirante | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1799 | 1898 |
| Surface Elo | 1799 | 1898 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 45 | 30 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Aug | A | Alejandro Tabilo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Aug | A | Alex Michelsen | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jul | H | Mariano Navone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Jul | A | Alexander Shevchenko | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Rodrigo Alujas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Aug | A | Jakub Mensik | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Martin Landaluce | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.64 | 61.0% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |