| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.5% | 66% | -7.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.6% | 47.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 32.6% | 67.3% |
| logistic | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| Alexander Weis | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1537 | 1603 |
| Surface Elo | 1537 | 1603 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Lorenzo Berto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Jadon Price | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Daniel Michalski | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Andrey Chepelev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Gabriele Crivellaro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Jonas Forejtek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Marco Furlanetto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Martin Krumich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.51 | 66.2% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |