OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-29
🎾 ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles · Tuesday 29 September 2026, 02:00 UTC · finished
Akira Santillan 0.60 0 - 2 1.20 Luka Pavlovic
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 59.1%62%-2.7%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov44.5%55.5%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost43.0%57.0%
logistic40.2%59.8%
Inputs the models saw
Akira SantillanLuka Pavlovic
Elo (pre-match)15081578
Surface Elo15081578
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.20
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game0.001.50
Season goals for / game0.001.50
Season goals against / game2.001.00
Rest days1212
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 0 D
Akira Santillan: last 5
29 SepHLuka Pavlovic0 - 2L
16 SepAPavel Kotov0 - 2L
14 SepHPavel Kotov0 - 2L
14 SepHYaojie Zeng2 - 0W
07 SepHBernard Tomic0 - 2L
Luka Pavlovic: last 5
29 SepALloyd Harris0 - 2L
29 SepAAkira Santillan2 - 0W
16 SepAHunter Heck1 - 2L
15 SepAVu, Ha Minh Duc2 - 0W
14 SepAHunter Heck1 - 2L
Head to head
29 Sep 2026Akira Santillan0 - 2Luka Pavlovic
29 Jun 2026Akira Santillan0 - 2Luka Pavlovic
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.6261.7%28 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2045.5%28 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:07 UTC