| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.0% | 61% | -3.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.9% | 56.0% |
| logistic | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Lorenzo Carboni | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1455 | 1580 |
| Surface Elo | 1455 | 1580 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | A | Remy Bertola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Alexandre Reco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Leo Raquillet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Lorenzo Angelini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Alexander Chang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | H | Sergey Fomin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Andrej Nedic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Wright, Michael | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Vuk Krstajic | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.64 | 61.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |