OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-23
⚽ England Amateur FA Womens League Cup · Wednesday 23 September 2026, 18:00 UTC · abandoned
Nottingham Forest 1.00 18:00 0.80 Aston Villa
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 51.9%26%+26.3%abandoned
DCHome or away 75.9%82%-6.5%abandoned
DNBHome (DNB) 66.6%34%+32.3%abandoned
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 41.6%61%-19.7%abandoned
BTTSBTTS yes 48.5%no lineabandoned
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson39.5%27.3%33.2%
xgboost46.4%26.8%26.8%
logistic44.5%27.4%28.1%
Inputs the models saw
Nottingham ForestAston Villa
Elo (pre-match)16871741
Surface Elo16871741
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.000.80
Form trend-0.20-0.60
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days44
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W5 W · 2 D
Nottingham Forest: last 5
22 SepABurton1 - 1D
19 SepHCoventry0 - 1L
12 SepAAston Villa2 - 1W
05 SepHTottenham0 - 0D
29 AugALiverpool2 - 2D
Aston Villa: last 5
22 SepACrewe1 - 4L
19 SepATottenham3 - 2W
12 SepHNottingham Forest1 - 2L
05 SepAHull0 - 0D
31 AugHArsenal0 - 1L
Head to head
12 Sep 2026Aston Villa1 - 2Nottingham Forest
12 Apr 2026Nottingham Forest1 - 1Aston Villa
03 Jan 2026Aston Villa3 - 1Nottingham Forest
05 Apr 2025Aston Villa2 - 1Nottingham Forest
14 Dec 2024Nottingham Forest2 - 1Aston Villa
24 Feb 2024Aston Villa4 - 2Nottingham Forest
05 Nov 2023Nottingham Forest2 - 0Aston Villa
08 Apr 2023Aston Villa2 - 0Nottingham Forest
10 Oct 2022Nottingham Forest1 - 1Aston Villa
13 Mar 2019Nottingham Forest1 - 3Aston Villa
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.7656.8%23 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%23 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.9025.6%23 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6361.4%23 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1047.6%23 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:26 UTC