| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.4% | 65% | -0.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.4% | 57.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 27.9% | 72.0% |
| logistic | 31.4% | 68.6% |
| Sebastian Gorzny | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1539 | 1739 |
| Surface Elo | 1539 | 1739 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 2.36 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 7 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Igor Marcondes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Igor Marcondes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Alastair Gray | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Quinn Vandecasteele | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Sander Jong | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Mees Rottgering | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Daniel Milavsky | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.50 | 66.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |