| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.8% | 82% | -14.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 33.5% | 66.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 31.9% | 68.0% |
| logistic | 40.6% | 59.4% |
| Lorenzo Giustino | Zsombor Piros | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1584 | 1737 |
| Surface Elo | 1584 | 1737 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Andrea Pellegrino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Zsombor Piros | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Michael Vrbensky | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Andrea Pellegrino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Benjamin Hassan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Passaro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Pol Martin Tiffon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Lorenzo Giustino | 1 - 2 | Zsombor Piros |
| 21 Mar 2022 | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 1 | Zsombor Piros |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.22 | 82.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.00 | 25.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |