| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.5% | 68% | -8.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 60.6% | 25.5% |
| xgboost | 71.8% | 26.6% |
| logistic | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| Montréal Canadiens | San Jose Sharks | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1584 | 1442 |
| Surface Elo | 1584 | 1442 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.38 | 2.56 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.75 | 3.56 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 3 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Washington Capitals | 4 - 5 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Detroit Red Wings | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Nashville Predators | 2 - 5 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 4 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 3 - 2 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Boston Bruins | 3 - 6 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Edmonton Oilers | 1 - 3 | L |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 2 - 4 | San Jose Sharks |
| 04 Mar 2026 | San Jose Sharks | 7 - 5 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 28 Feb 2025 | Montréal Canadiens | 4 - 3 | San Jose Sharks |
| 05 Feb 2025 | San Jose Sharks | 3 - 4 | Montréal Canadiens |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.46 | 68.5% | 20 Oct 19:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.93 | 34.1% | 20 Oct 19:20 |