| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.2% | 74% | -7.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 86.0% | 97% | -11.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 82.9% | 93% | -10.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.5% | 62% | -6.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 65.6% | 20.2% | 14.2% |
| xgboost | 71.4% | 15.4% | 13.2% |
| logistic | 65.9% | 21.6% | 12.5% |
| St Etienne | Laval | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1566 | 1370 |
| Surface Elo | 1566 | 1370 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 2.27 | 0.82 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.09 | 1.27 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.91 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Guingamp | 0 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Nantes | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Red Star | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Rodez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Metz | 2 - 2 | D |
| 30 Oct | H | Boulogne | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Nancy | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Clermont | 3 - 3 | D |
| 09 Oct | A | Pau FC | 2 - 3 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Sochaux | 1 - 1 | D |
| 21 Feb 2026 | St Etienne | 2 - 1 | Laval |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Laval | 3 - 3 | St Etienne |
| 13 Jan 2024 | St Etienne | 0 - 0 | Laval |
| 23 Oct 2023 | Laval | 0 - 1 | St Etienne |
| 13 May 2023 | Laval | 2 - 1 | St Etienne |
| 10 Jan 2023 | St Etienne | 1 - 0 | Laval |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 7.50 | 13.3% | 07 Nov 19:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.33 | 23.1% | 07 Nov 19:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 07 Nov 19:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 07 Nov 19:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 07 Nov 19:00 |