| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.5% | 94% | -21.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 75.2% | 24.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 92.1% | 7.8% |
| logistic | 62.2% | 37.8% |
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | Juan Sebastian Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1605 | 1473 |
| Surface Elo | 1605 | 1473 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Valerio Aboian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Carlos Maria Zarate | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Diego Dedura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Lorenzo Claverie | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Mateo Del Pino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Nicolas Hollender | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Miles Clark | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Felipe De Dios | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.00 | 12.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.06 | 94.3% | 19 Oct 06:15 |