| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.6% | 65% | -5.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 63.9% | 36.0% |
| logistic | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| Aidan Mayo | Alastair Gray | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1678 | 1571 |
| Surface Elo | 1678 | 1571 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.47 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Petr Nesterov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Kenta Miyoshi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Stefan Kozlov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Andy Andrade | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Valentin Royer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Valentin Royer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Lui Maxted | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Luca Pow | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 0 | Alastair Gray |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 05 Nov 06:15 |