| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.7% | 40% | +6.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 73.7% | 69% | +4.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.8% | 55% | +4.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% | 50% | +9.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.5% | 26.5% | 31.1% |
| xgboost | 41.7% | 32.6% | 25.7% |
| logistic | 40.4% | 28.9% | 30.7% |
| Kasimpasa | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1561 | 1557 |
| Surface Elo | 1561 | 1557 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Galatasaray | 1 - 3 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Galatasaray | 1 - 3 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Konyaspor | 0 - 0 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Genclerbirligi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Sep | H | Amedspor | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Trabzonspor | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Trabzonspor | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Erzurumspor | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Erzurumspor | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Corum | 1 - 5 | L |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Kasimpasa | 0 - 1 | Samsunspor |
| 17 Sep 2025 | Samsunspor | 0 - 0 | Kasimpasa |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Samsunspor | 0 - 2 | Kasimpasa |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Kasimpasa | 1 - 4 | Samsunspor |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Kasimpasa | 1 - 0 | Samsunspor |
| 09 Dec 2023 | Samsunspor | 4 - 2 | Kasimpasa |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.78 | 36.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.41 | 29.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.52 | 39.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.82 | 54.9% | 16 Oct 06:15 |