| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.8% | 74% | -10.7% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 28.0% | 71.9% |
| logistic | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Rinky Hijikata | Roman Safiullin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1760 | 1867 |
| Surface Elo | 1760 | 1867 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 11 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Roman Safiullin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Andrey Rublev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Andrey Rublev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Dalibor Svrcina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Dalibor Svrcina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Rinky Hijikata | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Andrey Rublev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Andrey Rublev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Flavio Cobolli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Flavio Cobolli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct 2026 | Rinky Hijikata | 0 - 2 | Roman Safiullin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.38 | 29.6% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.34 | 74.6% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.30 | 30.3% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.33 | 75.2% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.60 | 27.8% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.36 | 73.5% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Rinky Hijikata | 3.75 | 26.7% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Roman Safiullin | 1.39 | 71.9% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.37 | 29.7% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.34 | 74.6% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.25 | 30.8% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.35 | 74.1% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.30 | 30.3% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.34 | 74.6% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.30 | 30.3% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.35 | 74.1% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.55 | 28.2% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.30 | 76.9% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.65 | 27.4% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.37 | 73.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Rinky Hijikata | 3.75 | 26.7% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Roman Safiullin | 1.38 | 72.5% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.25 | 30.8% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.35 | 74.1% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.48 | 28.7% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.34 | 74.6% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.35 | 29.8% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.25 | 80.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.36 | 73.5% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.30 | 30.3% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.20 | 31.2% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Tipico | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.30 | 76.9% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.20 | 31.2% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.25 | 80.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.55 | 28.2% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.30 | 76.9% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.55 | 28.2% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.30 | 76.9% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.30 | 30.3% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.33 | 75.2% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.35 | 29.8% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.36 | 73.5% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Rinky Hijikata | 3.20 | 31.2% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Roman Safiullin | 1.34 | 74.6% | 07 Oct 06:00 |