| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.4% | 42% | +9.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.6% | 45.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| logistic | 48.6% | 51.4% |
| Vitaliy Sachko | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1676 | 1722 |
| Surface Elo | 1676 | 1722 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Otto Virtanen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Samuele Pieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Mika Petkovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Jack Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Philip Henning | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Carrascosa Diaz, Maxi | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Jack Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov 2021 | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | Vitaliy Sachko |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.61 | 62.1% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |