| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.0% | 52% | -2.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 76.4% | 82% | -5.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 66.1% | 71% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 49% | +5.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 28.1% | 30.5% | 41.4% |
| xgboost | 20.7% | 26.4% | 52.9% |
| logistic | 28.2% | 25.9% | 46.0% |
| Airdrie Utd | Hamilton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1491 | 1584 |
| Surface Elo | 1491 | 1584 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.30 | 2.78 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.90 | 2.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.30 | 0.22 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 10 Oct | A | East Kilbride | 2 - 2 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Montrose | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Peterhead | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Alloa | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Queen of Sth | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Alloa | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Alloa | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Peterhead | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Peterhead | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Kilmarnock | 3 - 0 | W |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Hamilton | 4 - 0 | Airdrie Utd |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Airdrie Utd | 2 - 1 | Hamilton |
| 28 Dec 2024 | Hamilton | 3 - 2 | Airdrie Utd |
| 02 Nov 2024 | Airdrie Utd | 0 - 4 | Hamilton |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Hamilton | 2 - 2 | Airdrie Utd |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 17 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 17 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.30 | 30.3% | 17 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.95 | 51.3% | 17 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.85 | 54.0% | 17 Oct 17:30 |