| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.2% | 69% | -11.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| logistic | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Mees Rottgering | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1585 | 1600 |
| Surface Elo | 1585 | 1600 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Andres Andrade | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Ozan Baris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Ozan Baris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Alastair Gray | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Lui Maxted | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 0 - 2 | Mees Rottgering |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.44 | 69.4% | 21 Oct 06:15 |