| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 46.3% | 40% | +6.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.0% | 76% | +0.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.5% | 54% | +6.6% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% | 64% | +5.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 64.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.4% | 26.8% | 37.8% |
| xgboost | 28.7% | 19.9% | 51.4% |
| logistic | 26.1% | 28.3% | 45.6% |
| Cagliari | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1625 | 1699 |
| Surface Elo | 1625 | 1699 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Lazio | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Lazio | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Roma | 2 - 4 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Roma | 2 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Bologna | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Torino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Torino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Lecce | 5 - 1 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Lecce | 5 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Atalanta | 4 - 4 | D |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Frosinone | 3 - 1 | Cagliari |
| 29 Oct 2023 | Cagliari | 4 - 3 | Frosinone |
| 15 Apr 2023 | Cagliari | 0 - 0 | Frosinone |
| 27 Nov 2022 | Frosinone | 2 - 2 | Cagliari |
| 20 Apr 2019 | Cagliari | 1 - 0 | Frosinone |
| 02 Dec 2018 | Frosinone | 1 - 1 | Cagliari |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.53 | 39.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.74 | 26.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.55 | 64.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |