| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.4% | 45% | +3.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.2% | 79% | -3.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.9% | 61% | +2.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 42% | +12.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.6% | 24.2% | 27.3% |
| xgboost | 36.1% | 29.1% | 34.8% |
| logistic | 46.9% | 28.4% | 24.8% |
| Greuther Furth | Braunschweig | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1400 | 1382 |
| Surface Elo | 1400 | 1382 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 2 W · 3 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Hertha Berlin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Hertha Berlin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Stuttgart | 0 - 5 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Magdeburg | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Bochum | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | H | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Kaiserslautern | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Kaiserslautern | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Dresden | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Greuther Furth | 0 - 0 | Braunschweig |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Braunschweig | 3 - 2 | Greuther Furth |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Greuther Furth | 3 - 0 | Braunschweig |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Braunschweig | 2 - 0 | Greuther Furth |
| 04 May 2024 | Greuther Furth | 3 - 3 | Braunschweig |
| 02 Dec 2023 | Braunschweig | 0 - 1 | Greuther Furth |
| 13 May 2023 | Greuther Furth | 2 - 2 | Braunschweig |
| 06 Nov 2022 | Braunschweig | 0 - 1 | Greuther Furth |
| 20 Apr 2021 | Greuther Furth | 3 - 0 | Braunschweig |
| 19 Dec 2020 | Braunschweig | 0 - 3 | Greuther Furth |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.56 | 64.1% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |