| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 40.6% | 42% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.1% | 83% | -10.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 52.0% | 54% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 67% | -11.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.1% | 29.2% | 35.6% |
| xgboost | 36.5% | 28.9% | 34.6% |
| logistic | 34.5% | 29.8% | 35.7% |
| Cremonese | Benevento | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1452 | 1428 |
| Surface Elo | 1452 | 1428 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 27 Oct | A | Mantova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Mantova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Juve Stabia | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Juve Stabia | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Pisa | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Catanzaro | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | Catanzaro | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Arezzo | 3 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Arezzo | 3 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | L.R. Vicenza | 2 - 2 | D |
| 01 Mar 2022 | Benevento | 1 - 1 | Cremonese |
| 17 Oct 2021 | Cremonese | 1 - 1 | Benevento |
| 21 Jun 2020 | Cremonese | 0 - 1 | Benevento |
| 30 Oct 2019 | Benevento | 2 - 0 | Cremonese |
| 10 Mar 2019 | Cremonese | 1 - 0 | Benevento |
| 27 Oct 2018 | Benevento | 2 - 1 | Cremonese |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |