| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.0% | 61% | -5.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 79.2% | 86% | -6.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 72.4% | 80% | -7.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 62% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 25.0% | 22.3% | 52.7% |
| xgboost | 18.3% | 20.0% | 61.7% |
| logistic | 20.1% | 26.0% | 53.9% |
| Blackburn | West Ham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1513 | 1656 |
| Surface Elo | 1513 | 1656 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| Season points per game | 1.29 | 1.64 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 2.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.57 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Stoke | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Stoke | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Swansea | 0 - 4 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Swansea | 0 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Wrexham | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Cardiff | 3 - 3 | D |
| 04 Nov | A | Cardiff | 3 - 3 | D |
| 03 Nov | A | Hornchurch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | West Brom | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | West Brom | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 5.25 | 19.1% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.38 | 42.0% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.37 | 22.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.07 | 19.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.59 | 62.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |