| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.3% | 58% | +4.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 75.5% | 24.4% |
| logistic | 52.3% | 47.7% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Michele Ribecai | Benito Sanchez Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1514 | 1507 |
| Surface Elo | 1514 | 1507 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 16 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | A | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Zdenek Kolar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Benito Sanchez Martinez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Domenc, Mathys | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Michele Ribecai | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Gianluca Cadenasso | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Facundo Mena | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Hynek Barton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Benito Sanchez Martinez | 1 - 2 | Michele Ribecai |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.58 | 63.3% | 06 Oct 06:15 |