OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-11
🎾 ITF M25 Luan · Sunday 11 October 2026, 02:00 UTC · finished
Matthew Dellavedova 0.60 2 - 0 1.80 Mert Alkaya
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 54.2%45%+8.7%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov36.2%63.8%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost61.9%38.1%
logistic41.1%58.9%
Inputs the models saw
Matthew DellavedovaMert Alkaya
Elo (pre-match)14031519
Surface Elo14031519
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.80
Form trend0.600.60
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days1134
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Matthew Dellavedova: last 5
29 SepHAndre Ilagan0 - 2L
29 SepAAndre Ilagan0 - 2L
22 SepAFajing Sun1 - 2L
18 SepHHunter Heck0 - 2L
16 SepHEnzo Aguiard2 - 0W
Mert Alkaya: last 5
07 SepAMax Basing0 - 2L
07 SepHTiago Torres2 - 1W
10 AugAKhumoyun Sultanov0 - 2L
10 AugABeibit Zhukayev2 - 0W
10 AugHSidharth Rawat2 - 0W
Head to head
No previous meetings in our data.
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.2045.5%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6062.5%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:52 UTC