OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-11-10
🎾 ATP Challenger Matsuyama, Japan Men Singles · Tuesday 10 November 2026, 01:00 UTC · finished
Mili Poljicak 0.00 1 - 2 1.20 Kaichi Uchida
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 70.9%70%+1.0%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov62.6%37.4%
poisson37.0%35.2%
xgboost69.4%30.5%
logistic64.2%35.8%
Inputs the models saw
Mili PoljicakKaichi Uchida
Elo (pre-match)15111420
Surface Elo15111420
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.001.20
Form trend0.00-0.60
Season points per game0.861.50
Season goals for / game0.711.25
Season goals against / game1.571.00
Rest days614
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Mili Poljicak: last 5
03 NovHSho Shimabukuro0 - 2L
02 NovHSho Shimabukuro0 - 2L
26 OctHYuta Shimizu1 - 2L
26 OctHYuta Shimizu1 - 2L
13 OctHFrancesco Maestrelli0 - 2L
Kaichi Uchida: last 5
26 OctAOgnjen Milic2 - 0W
26 OctAHarold Mayot0 - 2L
26 OctHOgnjen Milic2 - 0W
20 OctAZhizhen Zhang0 - 2L
19 OctHZhizhen Zhang0 - 2L
Head to head
No previous meetings in our data.
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.7037.0%09 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4369.9%09 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:54 UTC