| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.2% | 71% | -5.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 29.3% | 70.7% |
| logistic | 33.2% | 66.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Sebastian Dominko | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1522 | 1705 |
| Surface Elo | 1522 | 1705 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Karl Poling | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Benjamin Willwerth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Justin Boulais | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Daniel Masur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Sebastian Gima | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Timo Legout | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Clement Tabur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Mathys Erhard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Stefano Travaglia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Mathys Erhard | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 29 Oct 06:15 |