| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.0% | no line |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.5% | 41.3% |
| xgboost | 50.3% | 49.0% |
| logistic | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Washington Capitals | Dallas Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1598 | 1542 |
| Surface Elo | 1598 | 1542 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 0.54 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.58 | 2.69 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.08 | 2.31 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W 路 0 D |
| 30 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 4 - 3 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 5 - 2 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 3 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Los Angeles Kings | 2 - 5 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | New Jersey Devils | 4 - 2 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Montr茅al Canadiens | 2 - 5 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | New Jersey Devils | 1 - 5 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | New York Islanders | 6 - 3 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Winnipeg Jets | 3 - 2 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Boston Bruins | 3 - 2 | W |
| 08 Jan 2026 | Washington Capitals | 1 - 4 | Dallas Stars |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Dallas Stars | 1 - 0 | Washington Capitals |
| 17 Dec 2024 | Dallas Stars | 3 - 1 | Washington Capitals |
| 17 Oct 2024 | Washington Capitals | 3 - 2 | Dallas Stars |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||