| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.9% | 95% | -28.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 91.1% | 8.9% |
| logistic | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Francesca Jones | Maria Florencia Urrutia | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1446 | 1541 |
| Surface Elo | 1446 | 1541 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 11 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | A | Dalma Galfi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Jorge, Francisca | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Colmegna, Martina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Mona Barthel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Senica, Alja | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Mikulskyte, Justina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Marjorie Souza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Melleiro, Catarina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Estevez, J | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Barbara Gatica | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.80 | 11.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.05 | 95.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |