| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.6% | 69% | -8.0% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or draw | 85.6% | 90% | -4.7% | abandoned |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 79.0% | 85% | -6.2% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 70% | -14.3% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.0% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 75.9% | 15.4% | 8.7% |
| xgboost | 68.2% | 19.4% | 12.5% |
| logistic | 70.1% | 20.1% | 9.8% |
| Betis | Ceuta | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1757 | 1450 |
| Surface Elo | 1757 | 1450 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 11 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Sep | A | La Coruna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | RC Deportivo de A Coruna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Sep | H | Getafe | 1 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Villarreal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Sep | H | Real Madrid | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Sociedad B | 3 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Sociedad | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Valladolid | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Valladolid | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Sep | A | Burgos | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.20 | 19.2% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.70 | 21.3% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.42 | 70.4% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.43 | 69.9% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 01 Oct 06:15 |