| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 42.9% | 48% | -5.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.7% | 75% | -2.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 58.5% | 66% | -7.8% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 49.7% | 57% | -7.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.9% | 29.1% | 36.0% |
| xgboost | 30.0% | 29.4% | 40.6% |
| logistic | 25.2% | 28.3% | 46.6% |
| Osasuna | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1548 | 1626 |
| Surface Elo | 1548 | 1626 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 5 W · 4 D |
| 02 Nov | A | RC Deportivo de A Coruna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | La Coruna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | CD Tudelano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Atletico Calatayud | 6 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Sevilla | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Sociedad | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Sociedad | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | AE Prat | 6 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Getafe | 4 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Getafe | 4 - 0 | W |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Athletic Club | 1 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Osasuna | 1 - 1 | Athletic Club |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Athletic Club | 0 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Osasuna | 1 - 2 | Athletic Club |
| 11 May 2024 | Athletic Club | 2 - 2 | Osasuna |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Osasuna | 0 - 2 | Athletic Club |
| 25 May 2023 | Osasuna | 2 - 0 | Athletic Club |
| 09 Jan 2023 | Athletic Club | 0 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 15 May 2022 | Athletic Club | 2 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 03 Jan 2022 | Osasuna | 1 - 3 | Athletic Club |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 07 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 07 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.90 | 25.6% | 07 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 07 Nov 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 07 Nov 17:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.11 | 47.4% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.53 | 28.3% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.79 | 26.4% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.77 | 56.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |