| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.7% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| DC | Home or away | 77.1% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 64.1% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.5% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 64.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.4% | 22.6% | 29.9% |
| xgboost | 39.7% | 27.0% | 33.3% |
| logistic | 56.3% | 24.1% | 19.6% |
| Galatasaray | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1837 | 1785 |
| Surface Elo | 1837 | 1785 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 4.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 9 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 3 D |
| 21 Oct | A | Lille | 4 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Genclerbirligi | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Genclerbirligi | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Barcelona | 1 - 4 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Kasimpasa | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Slavia Prague | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Alanyaspor | 3 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Alanyaspor | 3 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Aston Villa | 0 - 6 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Rizespor | 3 - 0 | W |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Galatasaray | 3 - 0 | Fenerbahce |
| 01 Dec 2025 | Fenerbahce | 1 - 1 | Galatasaray |
| 24 Feb 2025 | Galatasaray | 0 - 0 | Fenerbahce |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Fenerbahce | 1 - 3 | Galatasaray |
| 19 May 2024 | Galatasaray | 0 - 1 | Fenerbahce |
| 24 Dec 2023 | Fenerbahce | 0 - 0 | Galatasaray |
| 04 Jun 2023 | Galatasaray | 3 - 0 | Fenerbahce |
| 08 Jan 2023 | Fenerbahce | 0 - 3 | Galatasaray |
| 10 Apr 2022 | Fenerbahce | 2 - 0 | Galatasaray |
| 21 Nov 2021 | Galatasaray | 1 - 2 | Fenerbahce |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||