| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.6% | 10% | +46.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 79.8% | 93% | -12.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 70.1% | 12% | +58.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.9% | 74% | -27.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 46.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 21.4% | 25.2% | 53.4% |
| xgboost | 37.0% | 29.2% | 33.8% |
| logistic | 27.0% | 28.0% | 45.0% |
| Alloa | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1448 | 1673 |
| Surface Elo | 1448 | 1673 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | H | East Kilbride | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | East Kilbride | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Airdrie Utd | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Cove Rangers | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Peterhead | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Aberdeen | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Aberdeen | 1 - 1 | D |
| 15 Sep | H | Kilmarnock | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | St Johnstone | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Sep | H | Hearts | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 10.00 | 10.0% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.40 | 15.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.21 | 82.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.36 | 73.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.95 | 33.9% | 22 Sep 06:15 |