| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.2% | 70% | -12.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.5% | 55.4% |
| logistic | 36.4% | 63.6% |
| Cezar Cretu | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1622 | 1601 |
| Surface Elo | 1622 | 1601 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.11 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | A | Pavlos Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Robin Bertrand | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Menelaos Efstathiou | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Reyniak, Matias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Radu Mihai Papoe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Calvin Hemery | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Matas Ortega, X | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Arthur Nagel | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.44 | 69.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 12 Nov 06:15 |