| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.3% | 61% | -8.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 42.3% | 57.6% |
| logistic | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Sander Jong | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1573 | 1564 |
| Surface Elo | 1573 | 1564 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | A | Wolf, Jeffrey John | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Lui Maxted | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Kenta Miyoshi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Kaylan Bigun | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Colton Smith | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sander Jong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Kaylan Bigun | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Colton Smith | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 2 | Sander Jong |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.63 | 61.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |