| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.1% | 68% | -5.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.6% | 49.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 24.7% | 75.2% |
| logistic | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Maximus Jones | Sebastian Gima | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1460 | 1471 |
| Surface Elo | 1460 | 1471 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 34 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Sep | A | Hiroki Moriya | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Florent Bax | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Sep | A | Ivan Ivanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | A | Ilya Ivashka | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 May | H | Mukund Sasikumar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Iannis Miletich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Gabi Adrian Boitan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Jannik Opitz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Sebastian Dominko | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.48 | 67.6% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 11 Oct 06:15 |