| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.6% | 66% | -10.6% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.4% | 55.6% |
| logistic | 43.7% | 56.3% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Alex Michelsen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1845 | 1924 |
| Surface Elo | 1845 | 1924 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Alex Michelsen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Daniel Merida | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Daniel Merida | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Francisco Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Francisco Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Carlos Alcaraz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Sep | H | Frances Tiafoe | 2 - 3 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Alex Michelsen | 0 - 2 | Botic Van De Zandschulp |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.51 | 66.2% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.63 | 38.0% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.50 | 66.7% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.60 | 38.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.53 | 65.4% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.60 | 38.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.55 | 64.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.78 | 36.0% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Alex Michelsen | 1.57 | 63.7% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.80 | 35.7% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.53 | 65.4% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.62 | 38.2% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.50 | 66.7% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.60 | 38.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.50 | 66.7% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.60 | 38.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.50 | 66.7% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.62 | 38.2% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.50 | 66.7% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.60 | 38.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.55 | 64.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.76 | 36.2% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Alex Michelsen | 1.57 | 63.7% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.80 | 35.7% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.50 | 66.7% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.60 | 38.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.52 | 65.8% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.71 | 36.9% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.43 | 69.9% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.48 | 40.3% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.51 | 66.2% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.45 | 69.0% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.55 | 39.2% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.45 | 69.0% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.50 | 40.0% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.50 | 66.7% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.60 | 38.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.50 | 66.7% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.60 | 38.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.50 | 66.7% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.60 | 38.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.54 | 64.9% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.60 | 38.5% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 1.52 | 65.8% | 10 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.50 | 40.0% | 10 Oct 06:01 |