| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.9% | 65% | -8.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 43.7% | 56.2% |
| logistic | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| Anna Bondar | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1582 | 1522 |
| Surface Elo | 1582 | 1522 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Renata Zarazua | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Kimberly Birrell | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Alina Charaeva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Renata Zarazua | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Sofia Kenin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Anna Bondar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Sofia Kenin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Anna Blinkova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | A | Elina Avanesyan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Alina Charaeva | 1 - 2 | Anna Bondar |
| 20 Jul 2026 | Alina Charaeva | 0 - 2 | Anna Bondar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 23 Sep 06:15 |