| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.0% | 74% | -14.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 28.7% | 71.3% |
| logistic | 48.3% | 51.7% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Talan Lopatic, Luka | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1565 | 1478 |
| Surface Elo | 1565 | 1478 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.18 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.45 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 16 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | H | Sergi Fita Juan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | David Naharro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Ioannis Xilas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Lumsden, E | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Elamin, A | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Imanol Lopez Morillo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Samuele Pieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Samuele Pieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Max Wiskandt | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Max Wiskandt | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.35 | 74.1% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.95 | 33.9% | 05 Nov 06:15 |