| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.3% | 52% | +6.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.6% | 47.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| logistic | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Jasmine Paolini | Sara Bejlek | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1718 | 1653 |
| Surface Elo | 1718 | 1653 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 9 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Nikola Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sara Bejlek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Daria Snigur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Daria Snigur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Jasmine Paolini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Naomi Osaka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Maddison Inglis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Naomi Osaka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Maddison Inglis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Jasmine Paolini | 2 - 0 | Sara Bejlek |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.91 | 52.4% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.94 | 51.5% | 11 Oct 06:15 |