| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.0% | 50% | +7.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 36.8% | 63.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| logistic | 42.6% | 57.4% |
| Sho Shimabukuro | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1605 | 1703 |
| Surface Elo | 1605 | 1703 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Roman Safiullin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Roman Safiullin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Miomir Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Michael Mmoh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |