OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-06
⚽ Netherlands Eerste Divisie · Friday 06 November 2026, 19:00 UTC · finished
VVV Venlo 0.20 1 - 1 1.40 PSV Eindhoven
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 72.0%22%+49.6%✗ miss
DCDraw or away 87.2%44%+43.3%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 85.4%28%+57.2%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 67.6%77%-9.0%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 62.3%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson11.1%14.6%74.3%
xgboost22.5%21.0%56.5%
logistic2.1%6.3%91.6%
Inputs the models saw
VVV VenloPSV Eindhoven
Elo (pre-match)13291811
Surface Elo13291811
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.201.40
Form trend0.00-0.40
Season points per game2.170.22
Season goals for / game2.830.89
Season goals against / game1.672.22
Rest days20006
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W7 W · 1 D
VVV Venlo: last 5
31 OctAMVV Maastricht2 - 1W
28 OctHVitesse0 - 2L
24 OctAFC Dordrecht4 - 2W
16 OctHAZ Alkmaar4 - 4D
09 OctAJong Ajax Amsterdam3 - 0W
PSV Eindhoven: last 5
04 NovHClub Brugge1 - 2L
02 NovHNAC Breda0 - 2L
31 OctHWillem II7 - 0W
31 OctHWillem II7 - 0W
30 OctAHelmond Sport2 - 3L
Head to head
11 Apr 2021VVV Venlo0 - 2PSV Eindhoven
22 Dec 2020PSV Eindhoven4 - 1VVV Venlo
19 Jan 2020VVV Venlo1 - 1PSV Eindhoven
06 Oct 2019PSV Eindhoven4 - 1VVV Venlo
17 Mar 2019VVV Venlo0 - 1PSV Eindhoven
06 Oct 2018PSV Eindhoven4 - 0VVV Venlo
17 Mar 2018PSV Eindhoven3 - 0VVV Venlo
15 Oct 2017VVV Venlo2 - 5PSV Eindhoven
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.5022.2%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.7021.3%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6162.1%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3176.3%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.4029.4%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:01 UTC